Our analysis of the "thought leadership" provided by Actuaries Institute's "COVID-19 Mortality Working Group" throughout the pandemic on the nature of excess mortality and vaccine safety.
Thanks for putting this together. I agree with the comments on 2020. It was no more than one standard deviation from the trend on previous years. There will have been a small effect due to border closures and minimal influenza. You are right 2019 was a worse than normal influenza year in many states of Australia. We typically expect below trend the following year. The small deficit has been used to try to explain away the huge jump >3SD in 2021. There is no evidence to support that non-pharmacological measures like masks, hand washing and social distancing reduced the deaths in 2020 and stopped reducing them in 2021.
Thank you for reading Andrew and for the kind comment.
It is indeed fanciful to think that these measures which worked so well in 2020 were somehow useless in 2021.
What is striking about these data, particularly for 2022 onwards, is how seasonality in mortality is completely inverted in Australia when deaths soared in summer 2021-2022. I would be keen to investigate why that occurred and similar patterns (if at all) existed in Northern Hemisphere countries.
If the apologists want to pretend it was coming out of lockdowns, or the more transmissible Omicron variant, lower booster vaccination uptake (lol!) etc. etc. then perhaps a more similar pattern could be found elsewhere.
I suspect not, but that is something I would like to investigate.
>It requires some force to stick the pieces together
Denial. People cannot admit that they killed their children. They also know that there is no fixing what has happened. There is no way to make this better.
The SPARS document says that when 'it comes out' the vaccine dead and injured will be framed as the 'heroes of the pandemic' but I do not think that will ever happen. I think they have run out the clock and they are pivoting to war.
Thanks again for your excellent, excellent writing.
Thank you, as always, for taking your time to read and support!
You are 100% right as well, but I'm starting to reflect more on our best approach from this point onwards:
1. Vigilance whilst they busily prepare the next "pandemic";
2. Acceptance of the reality of what you've described and the need to find a way to move on and hopefully bring more people to the realisation, that even if they will not admit they were wrong, to hopefully acknowledge they were lied to.
The 'narrative' followers will obfuscate the obvious to their last breath... This is their blood oath [which supersedes any other oath uttered prior to or following the taking of 'their' blood oath].
Thanks for putting this together. I agree with the comments on 2020. It was no more than one standard deviation from the trend on previous years. There will have been a small effect due to border closures and minimal influenza. You are right 2019 was a worse than normal influenza year in many states of Australia. We typically expect below trend the following year. The small deficit has been used to try to explain away the huge jump >3SD in 2021. There is no evidence to support that non-pharmacological measures like masks, hand washing and social distancing reduced the deaths in 2020 and stopped reducing them in 2021.
Thank you for reading Andrew and for the kind comment.
It is indeed fanciful to think that these measures which worked so well in 2020 were somehow useless in 2021.
What is striking about these data, particularly for 2022 onwards, is how seasonality in mortality is completely inverted in Australia when deaths soared in summer 2021-2022. I would be keen to investigate why that occurred and similar patterns (if at all) existed in Northern Hemisphere countries.
If the apologists want to pretend it was coming out of lockdowns, or the more transmissible Omicron variant, lower booster vaccination uptake (lol!) etc. etc. then perhaps a more similar pattern could be found elsewhere.
I suspect not, but that is something I would like to investigate.
Thank you again!
A devastating takedown.
>It requires some force to stick the pieces together
Denial. People cannot admit that they killed their children. They also know that there is no fixing what has happened. There is no way to make this better.
The SPARS document says that when 'it comes out' the vaccine dead and injured will be framed as the 'heroes of the pandemic' but I do not think that will ever happen. I think they have run out the clock and they are pivoting to war.
Thanks again for your excellent, excellent writing.
Thank you, as always, for taking your time to read and support!
You are 100% right as well, but I'm starting to reflect more on our best approach from this point onwards:
1. Vigilance whilst they busily prepare the next "pandemic";
2. Acceptance of the reality of what you've described and the need to find a way to move on and hopefully bring more people to the realisation, that even if they will not admit they were wrong, to hopefully acknowledge they were lied to.
Thank you again!
The 'narrative' followers will obfuscate the obvious to their last breath... This is their blood oath [which supersedes any other oath uttered prior to or following the taking of 'their' blood oath].